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Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) and General Artificial Intelligence (AGI)

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In current discussions about generative artificial intelligence, terms such as artificial super intelligence (ASI) and general artificial intelligence (AGI) are often used. They give the impression that we are close to achieving ASI or AGI with today’s large language models (LLMs). According to IBM, “Artificial superintelligence (ASI) is a hypothetical, software-based artificial intelligence (AI) system whose intellectual scope is beyond human intelligence. At the most basic level, this superintelligent AI has state-of-the-art cognitive functions and sophisticated reasoning capabilities that More advanced than any human being.”

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Professor Dr. Michael Stahl has been working at Siemens Technology since 1991. His research interests include software architectures for large complex systems (distributed systems, cloud computing, IIoT), embedded systems, and artificial intelligence. He advises business areas on software architecture issues and is responsible for the architectural training of senior software architects at Siemens.

However, I have a different perspective. Although LLMs have made significant advances in natural language processing and generation, they are essentially sophisticated statistical models that excel at pattern recognition. They are hindered by the limited amount of high quality training data available. As we exhaust easily accessible data, it will be difficult for companies like OpenAI or Anthropic to make significant advances in the speed and knowledge of their models as they have in the past.

So what would a truly human-like AI look like? An authentically intelligent machine will have several key characteristics:

activism

Instead of relying solely on large amounts of existing data, AI must have the ability to actively seek out new knowledge and experiences through self-learning mechanisms. This involves initiating conversations with other machines and humans to obtain information in real time. A truly intelligent machine will not passively process static data, but will actively interact with its environment to expand its understanding.

  • Self-learning capabilities: AI should implement algorithms that allow it to learn dynamically from new data, without explicit human programming, for each new situation.
  • Interactive engagement: By initiating conversations or collaborations, AI can gather different perspectives and data points, enriching its knowledge base.

autonomous behavior

Autonomy is necessary for AI to truly explore and interact with its environment. An intelligent machine must be able to make independent decisions about its actions and future directions without constant human guidance. This autonomy allows AI to navigate complex, dynamic environments and adapt as new situations and challenges arise.

  • Decision-making capabilities: Apply advanced algorithms that allow AI to evaluate options and make decisions based on goals and lessons learned.
  • Environmental adaptability: AI must adapt its strategies in response to changes in the same way humans do when faced with new circumstances.

emotional intelligence

While emotions in humans are complex and not fully understood, incorporating elements analogous to emotions such as curiosity and satisfaction can improve AI’s ability to discover and learn. Curiosity drives the pursuit of new knowledge and leads AI to investigate new or “interesting” topics.

  • Reinforcement learning: Leveraging reinforcement learning frameworks, emotional drivers can be simulated by rewarding certain behaviors and encouraging the AI ​​to repeat them.
  • Human interaction: For AI to effectively interact with humans, it must be able to understand and respond to emotional signals, allowing for more natural and meaningful engagement.
  • Empathy and understanding: Developing algorithms that enable AI to recognize human emotions and respond appropriately can improve collaboration and trust.

Sensors and Actuators

Physical interaction with the environment is important for AI to acquire experience-based knowledge. Equipped with sensors and actuators, AI can sense its surroundings and take actions that impact the world. This embodiment allows AI to learn from direct experience and obtain information not present in existing data sets.

  • Embodied AI: Whether integrated into the robot body or connected to remote sensors, AI is given a physical presence that enhances its learning capabilities.
  • Real-world interactions: Through manipulation and observation, AI can test hypotheses and learn the causal relationships that govern the physical world.
  • Multimodal learning: Combining visual, auditory, tactile, and other sensory inputs can lead to a more holistic understanding of complex environments.

Thinking, Meta-Thinking and Reflection

Advanced cognitive processes such as reasoning and self-reflection are necessary for AI to learn from its experiences, including failures. By analyzing past actions and results, AI can adjust its behavior to improve future performance.

  • Metacognitive capabilities: AI must be able to think about its own thought processes, allowing it to adapt its learning strategies.
  • Error analysis: Recognizing and understanding errors allows AI to refine its algorithms and avoid repeating errors.
  • Consciousness and self-awareness: Although controversial and challenging, developing some degree of self-awareness could be the key to achieving true AGI, allowing AI to set its own goals and understand its existence in a broader context.

While current AI technologies have made impressive progress, achieving true AGI or ASI requires overcoming significant hurdles:

  • Data Limits: As we reach the limits of available data, new ways of acquiring knowledge become necessary.
  • Ethical Considerations: The development of AI with autonomy and emotional understanding raises important ethical questions about control, rights, and security.
  • Technological complexity: Implementing advanced thought processes and self-reflection requires breakthroughs in computational models and processing capabilities.

The journey to human-like AI is not just about scaling models or increasing data, but requires a fundamental rethinking of how AI systems learn, interact and think. By focusing on proactivity, autonomy, emotional intelligence, physical embodiment, and advanced cognitive processes, we can get closer to developing AI that not only mimics human capabilities, but also interacts with the world in truly intelligent and autonomous ways. Does.

Only by addressing these multifaceted challenges can we hope to realize the full potential of artificial intelligence and pave the way for machines that actually think, learn, and perhaps one day have consciousness like us.


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